Essential Reading to Understand The Headlines

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Showing posts with label europe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label europe. Show all posts

Friday, December 9, 2011

Germany Aims to Impose its Will on a Weakened Europe

If someone in Europe outside of Germany in the 1950s or even earlier that that time travelled in the year 2011, he or she will be terrified of what is happening now. Germany is doing or has probably done what it cannot do in WW1 and WW2 and that is to be able to have control on its neighboring European countries and this time seemingly with the cooperation of long-time geopolitical rival.

This week Germany has relegated the UK to the sidelines and able to impose its policies in the Eurozone.

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"Europe’s worst financial crisis in generations is forging a new European Union, pushing Britain to the sidelines and creating a more integrated, fiscally disciplined core of nations under the auspices of a resurgent Germany."

"The agreement was a clear victory for Mrs. Merkel, and it prompted a sharp rally in stock markets in Europe and the United States.

"The European Union emerged in its current form in the late 1980s and early 1990s as a French-German idea to bind the region in the aftermath of the Soviet collapse. It is now being reinvented by a united Germany that has grown disillusioned by what it considers as debt-happy neighbors and is no longer reticent about wielding its economic and political clout."

Source: The New York Times
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In the history of Europe, the nations now involved in this drama has always been afraid of a United Germany.  the The Berlin Wall came down about 20 years ago which is a good thing, now Germany is united and a European power. This may sound ok to to ohers since Germany is a democracy anyway and a progressive country. But to the man who time travelled from the 1940s this could be chilling stuff.

In fact a year ago today, present German Chancellor, Angela merkel admitted that multicultarilism is an utter failure.

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"Speaking to a meeting of young members of her Christian Democratic Union party, Merkel said the idea of people from different cultural backgrounds living happily "side by side" did not work."

Source: The Guardian
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For the time traveling European man, this is German nationalism rearing its ugly head again. But in this case, I can hardly blame Germany this time since radical Muslims have indeed abused the generosity of Germany and has been used it to be a base to plan terror attacks.

This is not a knack on the German people and the present leadership but the environment is ripening that another push for German nationalism is in the offing and history has shown it has not been very good for Europe whenever Germany goes to this route.  We should be very careful of the next generation of leaders that come out after Merkel. The seeds are beginning to be planted again when Germany may see no way but to impose its will once again.


Clinton, Armenia and Bulgaria Defy Putin

Putin accuses Clinton of instigating protests; call for wider demonstrations Saturday http://bit.ly/sMWz7U

Armenian Premier: No Plans To Join Russia's 'Eurasian Union' http://bit.ly/rD98pV

Bulgaria: Russia Calm after Bulgaria Quits BA Pipeline, Will Seek Damages - Press - http://Novinite.com http://bit.ly/tMw9yp


Medvedev: Russia's Stances towards Syria based on Historical Relations | DayPress http://bit.ly/s1M9tH

Thursday, December 8, 2011

Warning the EU - Beware of the Nord Stream Pipeline

Russia's Nord Stream Pipeline will provide the EU with much needed gas and will be fully operation by 2012.

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"The two 1,224-kilometre offshore pipelines are the most direct connection between the vast gas reserves in Russia and energy markets in the European Union. When fully operational in the last quarter of 2012, the twin pipelines will have the capacity to transport a combined total of 55 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas a year to businesses and households in the EU for at least 50 years."

Source: The Nord Stream Website


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In 1982 US President Ronald Reagan warned about this Europe's dependence on Russian gas for their economic well being.

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"We tried to persuade our allies not to go forward with the pipeline for two reasons. One, we think there is a risk that if they become industrially dependent on the Soviet Union for energy—and all the valves are on the Soviet side of the border—that the Soviet Union can engage in a kind of blackmail when that happens."

"The second thing is, the Soviet Union is very hard pressed financially and economically today. They have put their people literally on a starvation diet with regard to consumer items while they poured all their resources into the most massive military buildup the world has ever seen. And that buildup is obviously aimed at the nations in the alliance. And they, the Soviet Union, now hard-pressed for cash because of its own actions, can perceive anywhere from 10 to 12 billion dollars a year in hard cash payments in return for the energy when the pipeline is completed—which I assume, if they continue the present policies, would be used to arm further against the rest of us and against our allies and thus force more cost for armaments for the rest of the world. And for these two reasons, we tried to persuade our allies not to go forward."

Source: American Presidency Project: Ronald Reagan: The President's News Conference 
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The warning and the logic is simple. Now the EU is again aiming to strenghten a Russian premier who longs for the return of the Soviet Union. When will we ever learn?



Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Putin's Party Now Leads in Election But McCain Warns of Unrest

McCain warns Putin of approaching “Arab Spring” | RIA Novosti http://bit.ly/veGPnr

Russia Moves to Quell Election Protests - NYTimes.com http://nyti.ms/uVkl61

Greeks approve tough 2012 budget | The Australian http://bit.ly/tWSh3c

United Russia leads with 49.3 percent in latest vote count http://bit.ly/tKhcPI

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Germany Criticizes Russia - A Return to the Old World Order?

Germany and Russia fought one of the most violent battle of World War Two to the bitter end. It has been a long time since the Cold War when Germany and Russia has something to argue about and yesterday, Germany struck the opening salvo.

"German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle said his country had noted with concern the reports received from election observers sent by the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE)."



"'They show that the Russian Federation still has a way to go to fulfill all of the OSCE standards,' he told the meeting."

"'We encourage the Russian Federation, also when considering the next elections in Russia, to move in that direction,' he told the conference, referring to March's presidential vote."
Source: Reuters

Germany's statements shows of getting into Russian domestic issues. It is one thing for the US to criticize the Kremlin but for Germany to so could open old wounds and scary historical geopolitical realities. In two world wars Germany and Russia have been suspicious of each other which lead to vicious battles. In both instances, Europe has found a United Germany and a Russian country under communist leadership. We must remember that Putin longs for the days of the Soviet Union.

We are far away from a scary scenario but careful observation must be made. Europe is reeling now from an economic crisis and Germany could be the strongest nation to come out of it while repression is slowly getting back in Russia along with the leadership of Putin. The developments are becoming eerily similar to the days of the first half of the last century.

Thursday, December 1, 2011

Europeans Turn to The Americans and the IMF for More Funds

Fed will help the Euro http://cnnmon.ie/vldiCP

Fed Officials Warn On World Economy - WSJ.com http://on.wsj.com/sNJzsy

The Sufferings of This Present Time | Around the World with Ken Ham http://bit.ly/vAEdtn

Eurozone turns to IMF after talks fizzle - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) http://bit.ly/tl2l29

Dow ends best day since March 2009 - latimes.com http://lat.ms/vl5PkR

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Russia Challenges NATO But Losing in Georgia

Russia Considers Blocking NATO Supply Routes - WSJ.com http://on.wsj.com/tz9cUR

Russia’s NATO envoy to visit China, Iran over missile defense | RIA Novosti http://bit.ly/srODAH

Kremlin-backed presidential candidate in Georgia’s breakaway region trailing rival - The Washington Post http://wapo.st/tWYsws

The Fed to Europe’s Rescue? | Fox Business http://fxn.ws/so0JcW

Monday, November 28, 2011

Putin Gets Ready to Be President and Warns West About Intervening

Putin Pres Run Official; Likely To Be Russia's Next President - Forbes http://onforb.es/t7VoqG

World News: Putin warns West not to meddle as he launches presidential bid - thestar.com http://bit.ly/u2CuXi

The Cure for Anxiety http://bit.ly/ui45vn

AFP: Rebel South Ossetia holds tense run-off http://bit.ly/tiBW3j

Thursday, November 24, 2011

EU Tries to Salvage Ukraine

With Ukrainian politics unraveling, the EU tries to come to the rescue. The EU is now battling a region wide economic crisis but it still sees the Ukrainian issue as a very important one and worth its time and energy. See why from this Stratfor video.

Gorbachev Fears Putin's Leadership While Medvedev Threatens American Missiles

Medvedev: Russia may target U.S. missile sites – USATODAY.com http://usat.ly/s3MCnd

Gorbachev Warns Russian Elections Will Be Rigged in Putin's Favor http://bit.ly/rr7WrW

Germany aims to ensure confidence - Hurriyet Daily News http://bit.ly/uQBo6W

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Greece Surprises Everyone with Referendum Vote on Financial Aid

In a stunning decision, Greece puts the help offered to it by Germany and France into a referendum vote unsettling the markets and plunging the financial industry into turmoil. In a deal hailed by the rest of the world just a few days ago has now become somewhat of a curse for the world markets.

Greek PM calls referendum on new EU aid deal | Reuters http://reut.rs/rEy7pt

Greek vote would be on euro membership: Finnish minister | Reuters http://reut.rs/w2c2sv

Papandreou’s bailout strategy unnerves European leaders - The Globe and Mail http://bit.ly/t3QyPc

AM - Sharemarkets dive after Greek announcement 02/11/2011 http://bit.ly/u0J2GT

BBC News - Asia markets fall on Greece fears after referendum call http://bbc.in/vbceiE

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Elections in Russia and Georgia Could Bring Drastic Changes

In this Stratfor video, the message is clear that the world should take notice of the possible profound changes in the upcoming elections in Russia and Georgia. The geopolitical stakes are high and the prospects of renewed conflict could not be too far behind.

Putin Sees Himself Savior of Russia As It Gets Belarusian Support for a Eurasian Union

Country needs me to keep it stable: Putin http://bit.ly/qYRBcR

The Messenger - Georgia-Russia WTO Negotiations http://bit.ly/pBTUXl

Belarus leader backs Putin’s plan of Eurasian Union — RT http://bit.ly/n7oTDV

Friday, October 14, 2011

The Enigmatic Tymoshenko Gets Western Support Over Ukraine Trial

Matthew Kaminski: The Rise and Fall of Yulia Tymoshenko - WSJ.com http://on.wsj.com/pRzD1G

Putin 'Perplexed' Over Jailing Of Ex-Ukrainian Premier http://bit.ly/nxNkFj

Canada News: Canada warns Ukraine over jailing of former prime minister - thestar.com http://bit.ly/pWMniT

Kyiv Post - US Department of State: Trial of Tymoshenko was improper http://bit.ly/nPl93P

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

West Bothered by Developments in Ukraine While Russia and China Ties Gets Stronger

Ukraine Faces EU Criticism Following Tymoshenko Sentencing - Businessweek http://buswk.co/mTxBDF

Court jails Ukraine ex-PM Tymoshenko for 7 years | Reuters http://reut.rs/nsPMoK

Russia May Tax Increasing Grain Exports to Tame Inflation - Businessweek http://buswk.co/r3osbl

China's CIC to Invest $1 Billion in Russian Fund - WSJ.com http://on.wsj.com/paQya9

Friday, October 7, 2011

Russia Wary of China As it Dreams of the WTO and A Eurasian Union

Russia's Putin says wants to build Eurasian Union | Reuters http://reut.rs/qisTJq

Russia Says It’s Close to Joining the W.T.O. - NYTimes.com http://nyti.ms/nwIhmI

Zadornov: Russia Budget Not Big Enough For Military Spending, Econ Support | Fox Business http://fxn.ws/pNhB7v

Russia and China face criticism for backing 'violent' Syrian regime - The Independent http://ind.pn/nmF8nA

AFP: Russia claims China spy arrest http://bit.ly/oThOZG

Thursday, September 29, 2011

Russia One Foot at the Door of the WTO While Turkey Wants to Cease Kremlin Gas Deal

Russia is an EU approval away from joining WTO - IOL.co.za http://bit.ly/n56KPr

Fresh push for Russia to back Syria censure - FT.com http://on.ft.com/nFuaCG

Car bomb kills eight in Russia's Dagestan | Reuters http://reut.rs/p8DX5D

Turkey threatens not to extend gas deal with Russia | RIA Novosti http://bit.ly/qbGFYo

Stratfor: Greece Must Bi Kicked Out of the EU to Salvage the Eurozone

For Stratfor, The Greek economy is almost out and has become a burden to the Eurozone and must be kicked out of the organization. However; this radical move must be done in a cautious way or it could spiral into a deeper crisis for its neighbors.

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Russians Still Disagree with US Over Nukes as Putin Tightens Grip on Local Political Landscape

NTI: U.S.-Russia Missile Defense Negotiations Remain at Impasse, Kremlin Says http://bit.ly/o4SYe5
  
Serbs, NATO Peacekeepers Wounded in Kosovo Border Fight « VOA Breaking News http://bit.ly/n4bB0d

Russia Hunts Down Chechen Terrorists Abroad - SPIEGEL ONLINE - http://bit.ly/nCONU4

Putin ally becomes speaker of Russian parliament’s upper house - The Washington Post http://wapo.st/odcGIC
 
Poland's Shale Gas dilemma for Europe - The Independent http://ind.pn/nd7S2l

Understanding the Implications of the Resignation of Russia's Finance Minister

There is more to the resignation of Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin than meets the eye and Stratfor captures it in this report. The Putin comeback is making things edgy in Russia for everyone involved.